Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.806246e-05 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062 0.000072
2025-03-09 2.042621e-05 0.000027 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000069 0.000084
2025-03-16 1.560979e-05 0.000023 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000075 0.000096
2025-03-23 1.239434e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000080 0.000107
2025-03-30 9.847971e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000085 0.000117
2025-04-06 7.627422e-06 0.000015 0.000025 0.000040 0.000061 0.000088 0.000125
2025-04-13 5.599921e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000037 0.000059 0.000088 0.000129
2025-04-20 4.330608e-06 0.000010 0.000020 0.000036 0.000059 0.000091 0.000135
2025-04-27 3.560705e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000036 0.000061 0.000095 0.000145
2025-05-04 2.992594e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000036 0.000063 0.000100 0.000155
2025-05-11 2.808421e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000038 0.000068 0.000110 0.000171
2025-05-18 2.296753e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000038 0.000069 0.000114 0.000180
2025-05-25 1.545156e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000035 0.000067 0.000115 0.000186
2025-06-01 1.066034e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000034 0.000067 0.000118 0.000195
2025-06-08 7.363507e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000033 0.000068 0.000121 0.000204
2025-06-15 5.175655e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000069 0.000126 0.000216
2025-06-22 3.441983e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000032 0.000070 0.000130 0.000226
2025-06-29 2.022558e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000069 0.000132 0.000233
2025-07-06 9.403983e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000028 0.000066 0.000130 0.000235
2025-07-13 4.579424e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000027 0.000066 0.000132 0.000242
2025-07-20 2.499494e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000027 0.000067 0.000137 0.000254
2025-07-27 1.359157e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000027 0.000069 0.000143 0.000267
2025-08-03 1.131776e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000154 0.000290